By admin 
The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet Monday night at 8:15 p.m. ET at Caesars Superdome. Both teams enter Week 4 at 1-2, making this an important division game early in the season. New Orleans has home-field advantage and is looking to even its record.
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Why Saints have a slight edge? New Orleans has moved the ball well, averaging 382.7 yards per game, compared with Atlanta’s 340.7. Quarterback Tyler Shough also enters the matchup with 917 passing yards and eight touchdowns. The Saints’ biggest problem has been turnovers, including four in last week’s 35-27 loss to Las Vegas.
The NFL weekend has featured several unexpected results, including Dallas beating Houston 34-30, Panthers getting past Lions 32-26 and Patriots handing Buffalo their first loss of the season. Now, the focus shifts to New Orleans, where the Saints will try to take advantage of their home crowd and bounce back. With the NFC South still wide open, let’s look at what the experts expect from the Saints-Falcons showdown.
National Predictions
NFL.com: Saints 23, Falcons 27
ESPN: Saints 34, Falcons 31
CBS Sports: Falcons 33, Saints 30
The Sporting News: Saints 38, Falcons 34
What Experts are saying?
“Penix is 4-2 ATS as an underdog in his career. Robinson gets a Saints defense giving up 4.7 yards per carry, giving Atlanta a reliable way to move the ball. Penix’s return also makes it harder to load up against the run. New Orleans has given up 10 sacks, and Atlanta’s run defense can force Shough into tougher passing situations,” Pamela Maldonado, ESPN
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“New Orleans is a few plays away from being 3-0 right now. I can’t say the same for the Falcons, although the rout of a lost Green Bay team in Michael Penix Jr.’s 2026 debut was highly encouraging. The Saints have the smallest margin of defeat (-4.5) among the 16 teams with multiple losses entering Week 4, and they beat themselves last Sunday, turning the ball over on all four of their possessions in the fourth quarter against the Raiders. I’m expecting a cleaner performance from Tyler Shough, who ranks second in the league in passing yards (917) and is tied for third in touchdown passes (8) entering Week 4. Jeff Ulbrich has Atlanta’s defense playing inspired ball even with injuries to key players, but Kellen Moore’s group should provide the stiffest test it’s faced so far. The Superdome crowd always brings the energy, and the vibes will likely be off the charts on Monday night as the Saints celebrate the 20th anniversary of one of the most iconic games in franchise history. Give me the home team in a tight one,” Dan Parr, nfl.com
“The Falcons impressed last Thursday in blowing out Green Bay on the road. Getting Michael Penix back at quarterback matters. They will continue to give it to Bijan Robinson in this one. The Saints will get theirs behind Tyler Shough. It’s high scoring, and the Falcons will win it. ,” Pete Prisco, CBS Sports
“The Falcons found their groove with Bijan Robinson and Drake London, thanks to Michael Penix Jr. returning in Kevin Stefanski’s offense. But the Saints have their own explosive attack with Tyler Shough getting it done with Chris Olave along with the rest of the wide receivers and tight ends. This should be a fun chapter between the domed archrivals in the NFC South,” Vinnie Iyer, The Sporting News
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This story was originally published October 5, 2026 at 1:45 AM.