{"id":2597,"date":"2026-05-20T12:02:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T12:02:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/cant-decide-on-a-gubernatorial-candidate-let-your-social-security-number-guide-you-opinion\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T12:02:28","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T12:02:28","slug":"cant-decide-on-a-gubernatorial-candidate-let-your-social-security-number-guide-you-opinion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/cant-decide-on-a-gubernatorial-candidate-let-your-social-security-number-guide-you-opinion\/","title":{"rendered":"Can\u2019t decide on a gubernatorial candidate? Let your Social Security number guide you | Opinion"},"content":{"rendered":"<article><!-- --><!-- --><!-- WPS-5038 -- removed the script from WPS and added the placeholder for trinity player --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- CONTENT --><!--[--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>If you are among the more than 1 million Californians who have already voted, good for you!<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/why-are-republicans-the-talk-of-the-vang-matsui-congressional-race-opinion\/\">Why are Republicans the talk of the Vang-Matsui congressional race? | Opinion<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>If not, you may want to consider voting strategically.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>For Democrats, that means waiting until the last possible moment to cast a ballot, and then voting for whichever Dem is ahead in the polls, even if you would never, ever have chosen that candidate under different circumstances.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>If your top priority is keeping a MAGA Republican out of the statehouse, that makes perfect sense.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>For Republicans, it\u2019s a bit trickier. Unless they manage to sweep the June primary, there is little-to-no chance of winning the governorship in the general election in a deep blue state.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>A sweep is a tall order, but Leonard Wapner, a retired community college math instructor from Seal Beach, may have (theoretically) hit on a way to make a double GOP victory possible.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf I were a Republican strategist,\u201d he wrote in a letter to the Los Angeles Times, \u201cI would advise Republican voters to choose between Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco based on the last digit of their Social Security number. Vote for Hilton if odd, Bianco if even.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>If conservative votes were split between the two candidates, that would give Hilton and Bianco 16% each, which could be enough to send them to the runoff, Wapner wrote.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Except, he wrote the letter in early May, when Hilton and Bianco were at the top of their game. Since then, the numbers have shifted.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>For the first time in months, a Democrat \u2014 Xavier Becerra \u2014 has overtaken Hilton in the top spot, according to an Emerson College poll, and Bianco has faded to fourth, behind Tom Steyer.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Splitting the GOP vote would still give each candidate 16%, but if the latest poll numbers hold, that means neither would make the runoff.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, if Democrats were to follow the Wapner strategy and split their vote between the top two Dem contenders, they could lock out the GOP.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>\u2018One asked if I was out of my mind\u2019<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Would candidates in a jungle primary really be able to math their way to a sweep?<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Not according to political analyst Paul Mitchell, who finds the whole concept silly.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere really isn\u2019t that level of strategic voting,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The mathematician agrees.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cRepublicans would never vote that way,\u201d he acknowledged in a telephone interview.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/governors-race-poll-shows-which-voters-are-driving-hilton-and-becerras-rise\/\">Governor\u2019s race poll shows which voters are driving Hilton and Becerra\u2019s rise<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>He went even further, saying he intended his letter to be \u201ctongue-in-cheek.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cI thought it was an interesting scheme mathematically,\u201d said Wapner, who describes his politics as slightly left of center. \u201cI didn\u2019t intend Republicans to take it seriously.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Not everyone got the joke; some thought he was trying to boost the GOP\u2019s fortunes.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cTwo of my liberal friends wondered why I would submit such a letter. One asked if I was out of my mind,\u201d Wapner wrote in an email.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Gaming the jungle primary<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>There are other, more subtle ways to try to manipulate California\u2019s bizarre jungle primary, which sends the top two finishers to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Again, Wapner has ideas.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cDemocrats might consider running ads promoting Hilton over Bianco,\u201d he wrote. \u201cBianco\u2019s poll numbers would fall, and Hilton would surely advance along with some Democrat. Given the nature of California voters, Hilton would almost surely lose.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s similar to what happened in the 2024 Senate race, when Adam Schiff ran ads portraying former Dodger baseball player Steve Garvey as a MAGA menace, under the assumption that Republican voters would desert other GOP candidates and give Garvey the boost he needed to make the runoff.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Garvey did wind up on the November ballot, icing out Democrats Porter and Barbara Lee. Schiff sailed into the Senate, amid accusations that he had done his fellow Dems dirty.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Leave your Social Security card in your wallet<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Voting in a primary election never used to be this complicated. We voted for our favorite candidate, period.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>So let\u2019s get rid of the jungle primary and go back to partisan voting, just as we do in the presidential election.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Think of the angst we would be spared.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>There would be no panicking over the number of candidates in the race. It wouldn\u2019t matter if two or 22 sought their party\u2019s nomination; one would be guaranteed a spot.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Party leaders would not feel the need to pressure candidates into dropping out.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Voters would not have to stress out about possibly ruining their party\u2019s chance to make the final.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>And come November, we would be offered a clear choice, rather than limited to choosing between two like-minded candidates.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Strategy is fine for playing poker, but when it comes to elections, we need a certain degree of predictability that we don\u2019t get with the jungle primary.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/california-sues-trump-over-new-student-loan-limits-for-some-healthcare-workers\/\">California sues Trump over new student loan limits for some healthcare workers<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s dump it \u2014 and leave Social Security numbers out of the voting equation.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--]--><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>California\u2019s jungle primary inspires strategic voting patterns. A Seal Beach mathematician suggests using Social Security numbers to split the GOP vote.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2596,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can\u2019t decide on a gubernatorial candidate? Let your Social Security number guide you | Opinion - San Diego Relocation News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/20\/cant-decide-on-a-gubernatorial-candidate-let-your-social-security-number-guide-you-opinion\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can\u2019t decide on a gubernatorial candidate? Let your Social Security number guide you | Opinion - San Diego Relocation News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"California\u2019s jungle primary inspires strategic voting patterns. 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