{"id":5601,"date":"2026-06-04T04:31:38","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T04:31:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/dems-confident-in-kileys-district-but-early-votes-threaten-embarrassing-lockout-2\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T04:31:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T04:31:38","slug":"dems-confident-in-kileys-district-but-early-votes-threaten-embarrassing-lockout-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/dems-confident-in-kileys-district-but-early-votes-threaten-embarrassing-lockout-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Dems confident in Kiley\u2019s district but early votes threaten embarrassing lockout"},"content":{"rendered":"<article><!-- --><!-- --><!-- WPS-5038 -- removed the script from WPS and added the placeholder for trinity player --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- CONTENT --><!--[--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Early primary election returns left open the possibility that no Democrat would make the general election in what was supposed to be a friendly Sacramento-area congressional district, after a stacked field of the party\u2019s candidates split Democratic votes and Rep. Kevin Kiley entered the race as an independent.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/shelter-crisis-good-food-awards-top-sacramento-stories-for-june-3\/\">Shelter crisis, good food awards. Top Sacramento stories for June 3<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Pre-election polling indicated Kiley would likely make the general election in the 6th District race but face one of four Democrats who had jumped at the chance to run in the newly drawn left-leaning district with no incumbent candidate. But with around 48% of the vote counted, Kiley and Rocklin resident Michael Stansfield, a little-known Republican candidate, were leading in the race as of Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Stansfield captured a significant vote share despite telling The Sacramento Bee he did not pay for any signs or advertisements in the race. Many of his fellow Republicans might find his campaign, as outlined to a reporter Wednesday, to be worrying on closer examination. He is driven not by any affiliation with the party\u2019s policies, he told The Bee, but by a desire to convince Evangelical conservative voters there are Biblical grounds for them to oppose Israel\u2019s military campaign in Gaza and support practitioners of Islam.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>But his  twists scripture to cast Jewish people as treacherous and contains antisemitic tropes, a rabbi with the conservative synagogue Mosaic Law Congregation told The Bee. That synagogue\u2019s rabbis raised concern with a gubernatorial candidate\u2019s ballot statement, which contained antisemitic conspiracy theories, earlier this election cycle. Stansfield\u2019s statement too is \u201cvery disturbing,\u201d Rabbi Ricki Lobel said, as was his position as a lead contender to reach the general election.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>With almost half the votes counted in the 6th Congressional District, according to the Associated Press, Kiley had 26.8% of the vote and Stansfield had 22.2%. The leading Democrat, pediatrician and former state Senator Richard Pan, had 21.2%. The next Democrat, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, had 11%.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Stansfield led Pan by just over 1,100 votes, and there are reasons Pan\u2019s supporters, and Democrat strategists in both California and nationally, remain optimistic. Only 42% of the vote in Sacramento County, where Pan has been leading, has been counted. The county is not expected to report additional vote results until Friday.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Fallout from gubernatorial chaos?<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Many Democrat voters held onto their ballots until the last minute this year because of the unsettled gubernatorial primary. Data indicates that later-counted mail ballots are more likely to fall for that party\u2019s candidates.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Still, even a narrow win would be awkward for California Democrats, after party leaders asked voters to redraw the state\u2019s congressional district maps in order to flip seats from red to blue and counteract Republican redistricting drives in other states. The 6th Congressional District was supposed to be a safe pickup in that map. The early result is also a feather in the cap for Kiley, who left the Republican Party following the redistricting, and still appears safely in the top two as an independent, despite Stansfield\u2019s picking up many GOP voters.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The number of candidates in the race had made the outcome hard to predict, Kiley told The Bee at his election night party. \u201cI think the number of votes we got is a testament that this is what voters are looking for,\u201d he said, referring to his newfound partisan independence.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>In his election night speech to supporters that had gathered for him at a coffee shop in Roseville, Kiley kept up his criticism of Proposition 50 \u2013 but this time with a note of triumph.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cCertain politicians think they can move lines around on map and choose your representative for you,\u201d he said, drawing boos. \u201cWe still get to vote. And we will not let self-serving politicians of either party take away our representation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Democrats remain confident in Pan\u2019s chances<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Democrat strategists, meanwhile, said they\u2019re confident they won\u2019t be locked out of the general election.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cLots of Dem(ocrat) ballots outstanding and (Pan) will make it,\u201d Paul Mitchell, the Democrat voting data expert behind the maps of Prop 50, posted on X on Wednesday morning. \u201cBut there were warning signs that the Republican could be a risk and those signs were ignored.\u201d Mitchell did not respond to a message requesting comment Wednesday morning.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Pan expressed confidence in his path forward in a statement, citing the large number of uncounted ballots in Sacramento County.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/steve-hilton-shows-off-special-election-night-jacket-at-governors-race-rally-2\/\">Steve Hilton shows off special election night jacket at governor\u2019s race rally<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis district deserves a Congress member who has worked to improve lives in our neighborhoods and will represent the people to make sure the government works for us,\u201d Pan wrote. \u201cI will be that Congress member.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Stansfield\u2019s campaign website is mostly biblical discourse, including a depiction of dialogue he writes portraying a conversation occurring between himself and God.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>In another section \u2014 titled \u201cWhy I run as a Republican\u2026\u201d \u2014 Stansfield writes that between the two political parties, \u201cthe Republicans know the Bible the best and are the best able to comprehend and proclaim the message. They are also those most in need of understanding.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Stansfield had been a Democrat until President Joe Biden supported Israel during the war with Gaza, he told The Bee. He voted for Green Party candidate Jill Stein in 2024.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>His campaign is self-funded with a $17,441 donation, according to the Federal Election Commission. He secured that money through a bank loan, he told The Bee.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Unintended consequences of Prop 50<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The election night twist was just the latest way in which the 6th District has exemplified the confusing political game of musical chairs unleashed by Prop 50\u2019s passage. The district became an open race after Rep. Ami Bera, who currently represents it, announced he would run in the 3rd Congressional District, which Kiley currently holds. That seemed to set up a Bera vs. Kiley challenge in a redrawn district that now favored Democrats.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>But Kiley walked way from that contest and went looking for a district in which he could be more competitive. He ultimately settled on the 6th, which encompasses where he actually lives.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Democrat candidates, meanwhile, piled into the open race. Besides Pan and Ho, West Sacramento Mayor Martha Guerrero and Lauren Babb Tomlinson, a public affairs officer for Planned Parenthood clinics in Northern California and Nevada, also mounted strong campaigns. Tomlinson was just behind Ho in the early tallies with 10.4% of the vote, while Guerrero had 7% and a fifth Democrat, Tyler Vandenberg, had 1.4%.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Tomlinson called Stansfield\u2019s current second-place standing \u201cshocking.\u201d She attributed the early result to extreme partisanship, low turnout and a crowded field of well-known Democratic candidates.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s actually the most fascinating thing about this race for me,\u201d Tomlinson said.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>If forthcoming vote tallies do swing in Pan\u2019s favor, then Kiley faces a very tough general election. Though Kiley raised far more money than his opponents in the primary, Pan could quickly build up a campaign fund war chest for the general election if Democratic support consolidates around him.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Tomlinson remained confident that a Democrat would advance to face and beat Kiley.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think we will see the result we want, which is a Democrat helping take back the House,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/national-democrats-pick-may-fail-as-progressive-leads-in-key-congressional-race\/\">National Democrats\u2019 pick may fail as progressive leads in key congressional race<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--]--><!-- --><\/p>\n<p>This story was originally published <span>June 3, 2026 at 3:46 PM<span>.<\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!-- --><\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With about 48% counted in the 6th District race, independent Kevin Kiley and GOP&#39;s Michael Stansfield lead; Democrats hope late Sacramento ballots shift results<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5592,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elections"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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