{"id":579,"date":"2026-05-07T16:33:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T16:33:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/official-predicts-6-weeks-of-stability-before-gas-prices-spike-if-war-goes-on-4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T16:33:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T16:33:12","slug":"official-predicts-6-weeks-of-stability-before-gas-prices-spike-if-war-goes-on-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/official-predicts-6-weeks-of-stability-before-gas-prices-spike-if-war-goes-on-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Official predicts 6 weeks of stability before gas prices spike \u2014 if war goes on"},"content":{"rendered":"<article><!-- --><!-- --><!-- WPS-5038 -- removed the script from WPS and added the placeholder for trinity player --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- --><!-- CONTENT --><!--[--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>California has about six weeks of stability in gas prices ahead of it before the Iran war, if it continues, could bring even sharper increases, a state energy official told lawmakers on Tuesday. Experts disagreed on how high the price at the pump could rise.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/yolo-county-da-jeff-reisig-announces-he-will-retire-later-this-month-5\/\">Yolo County DA Jeff Reisig announces he will retire later this month<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Average gas prices in California are currently above $6 per gallon. Tuesday\u2019s hearing came as The New Corolla, the last oil tanker to come through the Strait and sail to California since the war began, unloaded its cargo in Long Beach. Once that ship has unloaded, California no longer has a clear path to replacing as much as 200,000 barrels a day it has relied on from the Persian Gulf, according to the Los Angeles Times.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>But oil companies have shipments in the works that could provide stability for another six weeks, California Energy Commission Vice Chair Siva Gunda told lawmakers on the Assembly Utilities and Energy Committee.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>After that, without an opening of the Strait, \u201cwe would likely see price increases,\u201d Gunda said.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>But Gunda also said state officials are working to ease agreements between energy companies and other crude oil producing nations, such as some Asian countries, to stave off even sharper price increases if the war continues into the long term. Gunda is hopeful the state could find sufficient supply to stabilize prices over the next six months, if necessary. He said the price per gallon could stabilize around $6.50, or at least under $7, he said.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Another expert offered lawmakers a more dire assessment. Severin Borenstein, director of University of California Berkeley\u2019s Energy Institute at the Hass School of Business, said it was possible the cost could rise as much as another $2, which he described as \u201ccrisis\u201d levels.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe all hope that doesn\u2019t happen and the flood of oil resumes,\u201d he said. \u201cBut we are on borrowed time as we run down inventory.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Who is being blamed for California\u2019s gas prices?<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>The Iran war came at a vulnerable moment for the state. Policymakers have yet to set a clear path forward for increasing California\u2019s oil refining capacity after losing two facilities representing around 20% of the state\u2019s refining capacity in the last two years.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>That leaves California increasingly reliant, at least for now, on imports as global oil markets entered a period of uncertainty unseen in decades. But the state\u2019s gas price increase are in line with others around the country so far, state officials said, they just started from a higher base in part because of California\u2019s gasoline tax.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Members of both political parties have pointed fingers over the recent price increases, with Democrats blaming President Donald Trump for an unprovoked and disruptive war with Iran, and blaming congressional Republicans for failing to intervene.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Trump ran for reelection in 2024 largely on lowering prices for American consumers and avoiding foreign entanglements. His second term, however, has been marked by military interventions abroad, and he has yet to indicate a clear path out of the Iran war and the closure of the Strait.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Though California drivers of lesser means who have already been paying high gas prices are getting hit particularly hard, the wartime gas hike in the state isn\u2019t out of line with the rest of the country. Retail gas prices in the state have risen by $1.47 a gallon since the war began, according to the California Energy Commission.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/brad-holmes-gives-state-of-detroit-lions-during-interview\/\">Brad Holmes Gives \u2018State of Detroit Lions\u2019 During Interview<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>In Wyoming and Montana, two energy-producing states that voted heavily for Trump in 2024, prices increased by $1.56 and $1.54, respectively, according to the Commission\u2019s charts. Midwestern states have seen the highest increases, with prices in Ohio and Indiana rising by more than $2 a gallon.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Still, California Republicans and energy industry lobbyists say policymakers have spent years putting the state in a bad spot through excessive regulations, gas taxes and the state\u2019s mandate for a blend of gasoline that is separate from the rest of the country. To source that special blend, the state depends on in-state refineries or importing fuel refined to that standard from abroad.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cCalifornia\u2019s petroleum system has been weakened by design and global events are now exposing just how fragile its become,\u201d Jodie Muller, president of the Western States Petroleum Association, told the committee on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Democratic lawmakers aren\u2019t particularly sympathetic to the industry, pointing to reports of soaring profits for oil companies as the war chokes consumers around the world.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<h2>Could lawmakers suspend the gas tax?<\/h2>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Suspending the state\u2019s gas tax has yet to receive serious consideration in the Legislature, though it\u2019s popular on the campaign trail. At a debate last week, two Democratic candidates, San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan and State Superintendent of Public Education Tony Thurmond joined Republican candidates in saying they\u2019d move to suspend the gas tax if elected governor in November.<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>At Tuesday\u2019s hearing, Borenstein suggested the state could set the gas tax to rise when gas prices are low and drop when they spike because of global events like the war. Such a change, he said, would help California drivers but introduce more volatility to California\u2019s already fickle state budget.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>But lawmakers on the committee did not seize on that idea. Instead, they expressed hope that the state\u2019s energy commission and industry players could source sufficient fuel for the state to weather the Iran war.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe obviously have a crisis right now,\u201d said Assemblymember Gregg Hart, D-Santa Barbara. \u201cBut as legislators, we have very little ability to influence that today, or for the next six weeks or six months. We need to build a system that\u2019s resilient over the next years.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Committee members also reminded Californians that prices at the state\u2019s pumps vary more widely than in many other states between gas companies. Prices at Chevron, Mobile and Shell stations had increased the highest during the war, according to the California Division of Petroleum Market Oversight.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>Hypermart pumps, and off-brand gas stations, offered the same gasoline at far cheaper prices, as much as 80 cents in recent weeks, according to the agency.<\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!--]--><!--[--><\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur the main public service announcement we want to communicate to Californians is shop around,\u201d said committee chair Assemblymember Cottie Petrie-Norris, D-Irvine.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/sandiegorelocationnews.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/07\/raiders-offseason-moves-confirm-their-due-diligence\/\">Raiders\u2019 Offseason Moves Confirm Their Due Diligence<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--]--><!--]--><!-- --><\/p>\n<p>This story was originally published <span>May 6, 2026 at 10:27 AM<span>.<\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/p>\n<p><!-- --><!-- --><\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>California has about six weeks of gas price stability as the last Persian Gulf tanker unloads in Long Beach; officials warn of sharper hikes if the Iran war continues.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-california","category-capitol-alert"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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