2026 Bowl Projections After Week 6: Missouri, UCLA on the Rise

College football’s Week 6 slate for the 2026 season featured Georgia’s 20-17 win over Alabama, Oklahoma’s upset of Texas and Kentucky’s overtime victory over LSU. Additionally, Notre Dame easily handled Stanford to remain unbeaten, Ole Miss handled Vanderbilt to rebound after a loss to Florida in Week 5 and Missouri followed up last week’s upset of the Gators with a 27-6 victory over Texas A&M. Those results (and the others from a busy Saturday of action) significantly shifted the playoff and bowl projections for several teams.

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UCLA joins the projected playoff following its road upset of Oregon. The Bruins have a favorable slate the rest of the way, but coach Bob Chesney’s team will travel to Michigan and host USC to close a tricky end to the ’26 slate. Whether or not the Big 12 gets a second (or third) team into the 12-team field is one of the toughest projections this week. For now, we’ll project just one team (BYU) into the playoff, but Utah, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State and Houston are in the mix.

The postseason begins on Dec. 15 with two matchups and continues until Jan. 25 with the national championship at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The playoffs start on Dec. 18 with one first-round game, followed by three on Saturday, Dec. 19, hosted at on-campus sites. The quarterfinals are slated for Dec. 30 and Jan. 1. The semifinals for the College Football Playoff take place on Jan. 14 and Jan. 15; the Orange Bowl and Sugar Bowl host the matchups.

Due to conference realignment, some of the bowl tie-ins will be scrambled again in ’26. Former Pac-12 teams are eligible for bowl appearances in the conference’s old tie-ins.

Just missing the projections: Auburn, Vanderbilt, Illinois, Florida State, California, Tulsa, UCF, Iowa State, TCU, Marshall, Colorado State, Georgia Southern, Texas State, Western Kentucky, UConn, Temple, East Carolina, Eastern Michigan, San Jose State, UAB, Hawaii, San Diego State and Kennesaw State. How will the postseason matchups look by December? Below are Athlon Sports’ predictions for every bowl and playoff game in 2026-27 after Week 6:

College Football Bowl Projections for 2026-27(After Week 6)

Salute to Veterans Bowl (Dec. 15)

Location: Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Ala.

Tie-In: CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt/American

Projection: FIU vs. Appalachian State

Frisco Football Classic (Dec. 15)

Location: Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas

Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/MW/Sun Belt

Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. North Texas

Boca Raton Bowl (Dec. 18)

Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Fla.

Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/MW/Sun Belt

Projection: Troy vs. South Florida

Gasparilla Bowl (Dec. 18)

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.

Tie-In: ACC vs. SEC

Projection: Virginia vs. South Carolina

Myrtle Beach Bowl (Dec. 21)

Location: Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C.

Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt

Projection: Georgia State vs. UMass

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Dec. 21)

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho

Tie-In: MAC vs. Mountain West

Projection: Toledo vs. North Dakota State

Puerto Rico Bowl (Dec. 22)

Location: Juan Ramón Loubriel Stadium in Bayamón, Puerto Rico

Tie-In: MAC vs. American/CUSA/Sun Belt

Projection: Miami (Ohio) vs. Florida Atlantic

Cure Bowl (Dec. 22)

Location: Acrisure Bounce House in Orlando, Fla.

Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt

Projection: Liberty vs. Western Michigan

Independence Bowl (Dec. 22)

Location: Independence Stadium in Shreveport, La.

Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Conference USA/Pac-12

Projection: Cincinnati vs. Tulane*

New Orleans Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.

Tie-In: Conference USA vs. Sun Belt

Projection: Jacksonville State vs. James Madison

Armed Forces Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas

Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Group of 6

Projection: Baylor vs. Air Force

Frisco Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas

Tie-In: Group of 6 vs. Group of 6

Projection: South Alabama vs. Delaware

Poinsettia Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, Calif.

Tie-In: Pac-12 vs. Former Pac-12 Teams

Projection: Oregon State vs. Washington

New Mexico Bowl (Dec. 24)

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, N.M.

Tie-In: Mountain West vs. Group of 6

Projection: New Mexico vs. Arizona State*

Hawaii Bowl (Dec. 24)

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii

Tie-In: Mountain West vs. American/Pac-12

Projection: UNLV vs. Fresno State

Pinstripe Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, N.Y.

Tie-In: ACC vs. Big Ten

Projection: Pitt vs. Northwestern

Fenway Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, Mass.

Tie-In: ACC vs. American

Projection: Duke vs. Army

Duke’s Mayo Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C.

Tie-In: ACC vs. Big Ten

Projection: Louisville vs. Michigan

68 Ventures Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala.

Tie-In: CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt

Projection: Eastern Michigan vs. Louisiana

Cactus Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Ariz.

Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Big Ten

Projection: Kansas State vs. Penn State

Military Bowl (Dec. 28)

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md.

Tie-In: ACC vs. American

Projection: North Carolina vs. Navy

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Holiday Bowl (Dec. 28)

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, Calif.

Tie-In: ACC vs. Pac-12

Projection: Wake Forest vs. Utah

Birmingham Bowl (Dec. 29)

Location: Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Ala.

Tie-In: American/ACC vs. SEC

Projection: NC State vs. Memphis

Pop-Tarts Bowl (Dec. 29)

Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.

Tie-In: ACC vs. Big 12

Projection: SMU vs. Houston

Alamo Bowl (Dec. 29)

Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas

Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Pac-12

Projection: Oregon vs. Texas Tech

Gator Bowl (Dec. 30)

Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla.

Tie-In: ACC vs. SEC

Projection: Clemson vs. Florida

Music City Bowl (Dec. 30)

Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn.

Tie-In: Big Ten vs. SEC

Projection: Wisconsin vs. Mississippi State

ReliaQuest Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.

Tie-In: Big Ten vs. SEC

Projection: Nebraska vs. Tennessee

Sun Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: Sun Bowl Stadium in El Paso, Texas

Tie-In: ACC vs. Pac-12

Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Arizona

Las Vegas Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev.

Tie-In: Pac-12 vs. SEC

Projection: USC vs. Kentucky

Texas Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas

Tie-In: Big 12 vs. SEC

Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M

Citrus Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.

Tie-In: Big Ten vs. SEC

Projection: Iowa vs. LSU

First Responder Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas

Tie-In: Group of 6/Big 12

Projection: Minnesota* vs. UTSA

Liberty Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tenn.

Tie-In: Big 12 vs. SEC

Projection: West Virginia vs. Oklahoma

Arizona Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz.

Tie-In: MAC vs. Mountain West

Projection: Ohio vs. Wyoming

College Football Playoff

College Football Playoff First Round

Games to be played on Dec. 18 and Dec. 19. Contests will be played at home site of higher-ranked team.

No. 5 Texas vs. No. 12 Boise State

No. 6 Alabama vs. No. 11 Missouri

No. 7 Indiana vs. No. 10 UCLA

No. 8 BYU vs. No. 9 Ole Miss

College Football Playoff Quarterfinals

Fiesta Bowl (Dec. 30)

Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.

Projection: No. 4 Miami vs. No. 5 Texas

Peach Bowl (Jan. 1)

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga.

Projection: No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 9 Ole Miss

Cotton Bowl (Jan. 1)

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas

Projection: No. 2 Notre Dame vs No. 7 Indiana

Rose Bowl (Jan. 1)

Location: Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, Calif.

Projection: No. 3 Ohio State vs. No. 6 Alabama

Semifinals

Orange Bowl (Jan. 14)

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.

Projection: No. 2 Notre Dame vs. No. 3 Ohio State

Sugar Bowl (Jan. 15)

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.

Projection: No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 5 Texas

National Championship

Date: Jan. 25, 2027

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev.

Projection: No. 1 Georgia over No. 3 Ohio State

*Indicates conference not projected to fulfill all of its bowl tie-ins. An at-large team will be selected to fill those spots.

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This story was originally published October 11, 2026 at 5:50 AM.

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